Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 12.850525 14.704872 16.745464 19.159710 21.940887 25.047685 28.786181
2025-11-16 10.144045 12.506396 15.314017 18.904692 23.386597 28.811733 35.900266
2025-11-23 8.484385 11.025447 14.214556 18.525791 24.225578 31.535975 41.676368
2025-11-30 7.751163 10.522677 14.162384 19.316566 26.468166 36.099917 50.156038
2025-12-07 7.022953 9.898862 13.825979 19.614848 27.991020 39.762462 57.721550
2025-12-14 6.335996 9.232248 13.326327 19.580641 28.975376 42.691200 64.469844
2025-12-21 5.727405 8.599946 12.789711 19.401233 29.677134 45.211417 70.798889
2025-12-28 5.436283 8.398817 12.850385 20.095658 31.729791 49.914811 80.944266
2026-01-04 5.132054 8.141047 12.789069 20.575033 33.463733 54.249580 90.911870
2026-01-11 4.906811 7.981214 12.856508 21.250157 35.554427 59.323967 102.604411
2026-01-18 4.468802 7.434042 12.248376 20.744320 35.607777 60.984641 108.546012
2026-01-25 4.117740 6.998704 11.782812 20.427624 35.937436 63.117330 115.498440
2026-02-01 3.808635 6.612822 11.374923 20.185319 36.394929 65.552049 123.338232
2026-02-08 3.525145 6.247010 10.969777 19.907924 36.756330 67.836155 131.125663
2026-02-15 3.252228 5.876078 10.522582 19.508131 36.841750 69.595260 138.045964
2026-02-22 3.184385 5.870852 10.730587 20.342907 39.340031 76.155421 155.225628
2026-03-01 3.048962 5.727973 10.671429 20.657811 40.847038 80.911883 169.202481
2026-03-08 2.879376 5.506079 10.444583 20.621697 41.642867 84.307328 180.652378
2026-03-15 2.705516 5.261870 10.154842 20.432291 42.102195 87.043936 190.948389
2026-03-22 2.651126 5.248076 10.312656 21.165440 44.548558 94.158596 211.739088
2026-03-29 2.574040 5.182239 10.360551 21.671585 46.552727 100.507126 231.479213
2026-04-05 2.522146 5.163401 10.501177 22.384461 49.069500 108.210050 255.243698
2026-04-12 2.351375 4.884365 10.083034 21.850332 48.755850 109.533101 263.837676